SaylorMoon has made $486K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #430 all time by profit, with 79M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$486K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 79M
- Portfolio value
- $264K
- Profit this month
- +$76K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 32%
How SaylorMoon has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 64 (32%) ended in profit and 136 in a loss, for −$240K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 37%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 97 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $262K together, the biggest is “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (No) at 35% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Jun 28, 2025
+$166K

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jan 30, 2025
+$165K

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Jul 27, 2026
+$118K

Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
No · entry 18% · closed Jun 4, 2025
+$88K

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Jul 31, 2025
+$88K

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Jun 18, 2025
+$70K

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
No · entry 99% · closed Jul 9, 2025
+$69K

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
No · entry 47% · closed Sep 15, 2026
+$66K

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Sep 17, 2025
+$59K

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 20% · closed May 1, 2026
+$59K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
No · entry 0.1% · closed May 19, 2025
−$133K

Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Nov 23, 2025
−$113K

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Sep 15, 2026
−$74K

Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Jun 28, 2025
−$70K

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
No · entry 29% · closed Mar 2, 2025
−$68K

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Yes · entry 52% · closed May 19, 2025
−$66K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Sep 15, 2026
−$64K

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Apr 1, 2025
−$60K

Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?
No · entry 46% · closed Sep 15, 2026
−$54K

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Jan 29, 2025
−$54K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 41%, now 93% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$91K
+$51K P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 80%, now 93% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$66K
+$8,801 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 64%, now 62% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$32K
−$968 P&L

Rams vs. Raiders
Rams · entry 67%, now >99% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
+$6,533 P&L

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No · entry 48%, now 47% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$14K
−$340 P&L

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No · entry 52%, now 90% · ends Jan 4, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,329
+$3,464 P&L

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 68%, now 73% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,100
+$418 P&L

Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Yes · entry 21%, now 19% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,565
−$390 P&L

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 11%, now 6% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,850
−$3,550 P&L

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 42%, now 72% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,542
+$1,484 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 64%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,356
−$81 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 63%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,150
+$0 P&L

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes · entry 8%, now 3% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,689
−$4,207 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 63%, now 62% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,602
−$63 P&L

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
No · entry 33%, now 21% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,600
−$990 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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