"The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office odds
Polymarket traders make 105m+ the favorite for “"The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office” at 73% (+2.9 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of 95m-105m at 12%.
Market ends:
Prices refresh about every 30 minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Back your pick
Choose an outcome and a stake to see what it would return if it wins.
Your pick
If 105m+ wins “"The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office”, $20 returns about $27.32.
- Price per share
- 73.2¢
- Implied chance
- 73%
- Shares
- 27.32
- Payout if it wins
- $27.32
- Profit if it wins
- +$7.32
- Odds
- 1.37 · −273
If it loses, the stake is lost. Each share costs the price shown and pays $1 if the outcome wins.
Affiliate link · 18+ · prices move; you can lose your stake · not financial advice
Polymarket’s taker fee is not included (see our guide to Polymarket fees). Prices are from the last update, 14:19 UTC, 2 Nov 2026, and may have moved since.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 6 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 105m+73%73%24h +2.9 ptsOdds 1.37US −273Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 95m-105m12%12%24h −1.6 ptsOdds 8.44US +744Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 85m-95m11%11%24h +0.5 ptsOdds 9.09US +809Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 75m-85m3%3%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 33.90US +3290Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 65m-75m1%1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 68.97US +6797Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- <65m1%1%24h −0.3 ptsOdds 83.33US +8233Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Long shots that pay the most
The 3 outcomes priced between 2¢ and 15¢ that would pay the most for a $20 stake. Long shots rarely win, and the price already says how rarely: 5¢ is a market-implied chance of about 5%. Most stakes at these prices end up lost.
75m-85m
2.95¢ · 3%$20 → $678 if it wins
Back 75m-85m on Polymarket (affiliate link)85m-95m
11¢ · 11%$20 → $182 if it wins
Back 85m-95m on Polymarket (affiliate link)95m-105m
11.85¢ · 12%$20 → $169 if it wins
Back 95m-105m on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Payout is before fees and assumes the price shown. How Polymarket fees work.
Where this market stands
“"The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office” is a Polymarket event with 6 open outcomes. 105m+ leads at 73%, ahead of 95m-105m at 12%. 105m+ is up 2.9 points over the last 24 hours and up 62 points over the past week. Traders have put $68K through the event so far, including $8,389 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 22, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
cat-dog bought No at 99%
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to how much "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 20 - 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office?
- 105m+ is the favorite at 73%, followed by 95m-105m at 12% and 85m-95m at 11%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?
- Polymarket traders give 105m+ a 73% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.37 (American −273): $1 staked on 105m+ returns about $1.37 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 2.9 points.
