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Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout odds

Polymarket traders make 66-70% the favorite for “Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout” at 59% (+26 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of 70%+ at 33%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Sep 26Oct 25
66-70%70%+62-66%58-62%

All 5 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout” is a Polymarket event with 5 open outcomes. 66-70% leads at 59%, ahead of 70%+ at 33%. 66-70% is up 26 points over the last 24 hours and up 20 points over the past week. Traders have put $204K through the event so far, including $149K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on October 25, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2023 example: https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (Republička izborna komisija, https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout?
66-70% is the favorite at 59%, followed by 70%+ at 33% and 62-66% at 0.4%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?
Polymarket traders give 66-70% a 59% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.69 (American −144): $1 staked on 66-70% returns about $1.69 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 26 points.

Related odds

Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?

  • 50%+96%
  • 45-50%4%
  • 35-40%2%

$104K traded · $31K in 24h

Serbia Election: United Serbia Vote Share?

  • 35-40%44%
  • 40-45%38%
  • 50-55%28%

$75K traded · $19K in 24h

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

  • Student List – Students Win>99%
  • Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia0.5%
  • Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<0.1%

$10M traded · $3.6M in 24h