hmwhynot is down $12K in realized results on Polymarket, with 488K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$12K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 488K
- Portfolio value
- $7,750
- Profit this month
- +$2,374
- Win rate (last 60 closed)
- 43%
How hmwhynot has traded
Across all 60 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 26 (43%) ended in profit and 34 in a loss, for −$1,378 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 35%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 32 of the 60 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $7,750 together, the biggest is “Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?” (Yes) at 58% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 9?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Mar 9, 2026
+$508
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Mar 9, 2026
+$367
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Down · entry 96% · closed Jul 30, 2026
+$185
Solana Up or Down - September 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Down · entry 52% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$95
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Sep 14, 2026
+$95
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 16?
No · entry 45% · closed Sep 17, 2026
+$75
Solana Up or Down - September 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Down · entry 79% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$53
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?
No · entry 12% · closed Jul 18, 2026
+$47
Solana Up or Down - August 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Up · entry 56% · closed Aug 31, 2026
+$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Down · entry 46% · closed Jul 26, 2026
+$31
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?
Down · entry 87% · closed Mar 18, 2026
−$975
Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Down · entry 69% · closed Aug 31, 2026
−$882
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 16?
Yes · entry 0.2% · closed Mar 22, 2026
−$389
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Apr 13, 2026
−$134
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Yes · entry 0.3% · closed Mar 22, 2026
−$126
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?
No · entry 0.1% · closed Mar 17, 2026
−$100
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 19?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Mar 19, 2026
−$100
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?
No · entry 2% · closed Mar 22, 2026
−$62
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Up · entry 54% · closed Jul 30, 2026
−$52
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Jul 13, 2026
−$34
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 57%, now 99% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,482
+$1,910 P&L
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?
Yes · entry 32%, now 64% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,268
+$1,646 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 72%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?
Bought Yes at 71%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?
Bought Yes at 72%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?
Bought Yes at 30%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?
Bought Yes at 30%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?
Bought Yes at 52%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 58%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Sold No at >99%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 16?
$136
Bought Down at 1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
$20
Bought Down at 5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
$20
Bought Down at 4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
$20
Bought Down at 32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
$20
Bought Down at 43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
$20
Bought Down at 46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
$20
Bought Down at 74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
$20
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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