Calm-Backburn
0x747c…443b · Joined September 24, 2025
Calm-Backburn has made $2,045 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #51,741 all time by profit, with 597K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$2,045
- All-time volume (shares)
- 597K
- Portfolio value
- $13K
- Profit this month
- +$8,967
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 72%
How Calm-Backburn has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 144 (72%) ended in profit and 56 in a loss, for +$5,544 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 76%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 5 largest open positions listed below, worth $13K together, the biggest is “Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?” (Yes) at 78% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Dec 7, 2025
+$533
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$473
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$469
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Feb 3, 2026
+$394
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$387
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Apr 13, 2026
+$344
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18?
No · entry 75% · closed Sep 18, 2026
+$338
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Sep 14, 2026
+$329
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul
Daniil Medvedev · entry 67% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$307
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Dec 1, 2025
+$300
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Oct 13, 2026
−$1,471
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$1,049
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-15?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Nov 17, 2025
−$823
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-21?
No · entry 90% · closed Oct 21, 2026
−$813
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?
No · entry 88% · closed Sep 4, 2026
−$764
Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?
No · entry 81% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$631
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Feb 9, 2026
−$542
Will PAE PS Kalamata win on 2026-10-12?
No · entry 91% · closed Oct 12, 2026
−$530
Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?
No · entry 90% · closed Sep 27, 2026
−$485
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar
Carlos Alcaraz · entry 90% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$413
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 31%, now 99% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,942
+$6,871 P&L
Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?
No · entry 82%, now 98% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,673
+$272 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 70%, now 71% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$505
+$5 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 63%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$397
−$3 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 24%, now 32% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$222
+$55 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 15%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?
Bought Yes at 80%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?
Sold No at >99%
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?
Bought Yes at 35%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 36%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 36%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 36%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 36%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 36%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought No at 85%
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?
Bought No at 85%
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?
Bought No at 85%
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?
Bought No at 85%
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?
Bought No at 85%
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?
Bought No at 85%
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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