Next James Bond actor odds
Polymarket traders make Jack Lowden the favorite for “Next James Bond actor” at 36% (−2.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Callum Turner at 27%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 24 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 36%
Jack Lowden36%24h −2.5 ptsOdds 2.77US +177Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 27%
Callum Turner27%24h +11 ptsOdds 3.65US +265Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 27%
No Bond chosen27%24h +3.5 ptsOdds 3.75US +275Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 7%
Josh O'Connor7%24h −0.6 ptsOdds 14.08US +1308Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 2%
Jack Barton2%24h −1.1 ptsOdds 52.63US +5163Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 1%
Tom Francis1%24h −1.4 ptsOdds 68.97US +6797Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 1%
Jacob Elordi1%24h −4.2 ptsOdds 74.07US +7307Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 1%
James Norton1%24h −2.8 ptsOdds 83.33US +8233Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.5%
Henry Cavill0.5%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 200.00US +19900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.4%
Richard Madden0.4%24h −0.3 ptsOdds 285.71US +28471Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.3%
Harris Dickinson0.3%24h −0.9 ptsOdds 333.33US +33233Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.3%
Jack O'Connell0.3%24h −1.1 ptsOdds 333.33US +33233Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.2%
Paul Mescal0.2%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 500.00US +49900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.1%
Theo James0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 666.67US +66567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.1%
Tom Blyth0.1%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 1000.00US +99900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Show all 24 outcomesShow fewer outcomes
- <0.1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Tom Hardy<0.1%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Pierce Brosnan<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Tom Holland<0.1%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Robert James-Collier<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Timothee Chalamet<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Michael B Jordan<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Nicholas Galitzine<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Jonathan Bailey<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Next James Bond actor” is a Polymarket event with 24 open outcomes. Jack Lowden leads at 36%, ahead of Callum Turner at 27%. Jack Lowden is down 2.5 points over the last 24 hours and up 9.3 points over the past week. Traders have put $1.7M through the event so far, including $20K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

shovelingdigging bought No at 75%
No one announced as next James Bond?

iHaveBeenPwned bought No at 75%
No one announced as next James Bond?

prostakov bought Yes at 28%
No one announced as next James Bond?

HukaBars sold No at 70%
No one announced as next James Bond?

prinzealbert bought Yes at 22%
No one announced as next James Bond?

Sylvester.the.Cat bought No at 75%
No one announced as next James Bond?

arbandy sold Yes at 28%
No one announced as next James Bond?

prinzealbert bought Yes at 42%
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

PCjT1viNMz bought No at 81%
No one announced as next James Bond?

prinzealbert bought Yes at 25%
No one announced as next James Bond?

ImJustKen sold Yes at 43%
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

ImJustKen bought No at 69%
No one announced as next James Bond?

Attack-Titan bought Yes at 49%
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

prinzealbert bought Yes at 48%
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

prinzealbert bought Yes at 49%
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

prinzealbert bought Yes at 38%
No one announced as next James Bond?

prinzealbert bought Yes at 53%
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

prinzealbert bought Yes at 24%
No one announced as next James Bond?

prinzealbert bought Yes at 70%
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

prinzealbert bought Yes at 55%
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

prinzealbert bought Yes at 45%
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

Newmski bought Yes at 42%
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

prostakov bought Yes at 43%
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

SnapElectionAvoider bought Yes at 22%
No one announced as next James Bond?

JustHereWaiting bought No at 79%
No one announced as next James Bond?

Sylvester.the.Cat bought No at 78%
No one announced as next James Bond?

BigMackyG bought Yes at 22%
No one announced as next James Bond?

Bobic bought No at 91%
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?

hell0pia bought Yes at 36%
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

Sylvester.the.Cat bought No at 78%
No one announced as next James Bond?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in Next James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden is the favorite at 36%, followed by Callum Turner at 27% and No Bond chosen at 27%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
- Polymarket traders give Jack Lowden a 36% chance, which is decimal odds of 2.77 (American +177): $1 staked on Jack Lowden returns about $2.77 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 2.5 points.
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