
BigMackyG has made $76K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,520 all time by profit, with 4.9M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 21, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$76K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 4.9M
- Portfolio value
- $94K
- Profit this month
- +$40K
- Win rate (last 193 closed)
- 76%
How BigMackyG has traded
Across the 193 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 147 (76%) ended in profit and 46 in a loss, for +$236K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 39%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 105 of the 193 are about culture and entertainment, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $81K together, the biggest is “US imports Russian diesel by October 31?” (No) at 17% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Sep 20, 2026
+$19K

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Oct 6, 2026
+$16K

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Sep 22, 2026
+$7,037

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Oct 6, 2026
+$6,949

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
No · entry 41% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$6,573

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Sep 18, 2026
+$6,456

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Sep 23, 2026
+$6,038

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Jul 22, 2026
+$5,801

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Aug 19, 2026
+$5,713

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
No · entry 46% · closed Oct 13, 2026
+$5,645
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
No · entry 47% · closed Jul 26, 2026
−$2,382

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
No · entry 26% · closed Sep 26, 2026
−$1,627

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
No · entry 50% · closed Jun 29, 2026
−$1,035

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$958

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Jul 22, 2026
−$867

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
No · entry 56% · closed Jul 31, 2026
−$785

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
No · entry 39% · closed Oct 3, 2026
−$598

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Jul 22, 2026
−$568

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Jul 22, 2026
−$530

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Oct 4, 2026
−$512
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
No · entry 41%, now 97% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$7,967 P&L

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 35%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$9,854
+$6,415 P&L

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
No · entry 12%, now 87% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,368
+$7,218 P&L

No one announced as next James Bond?
Yes · entry 21%, now 32% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,129
+$2,905 P&L

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes · entry 32%, now 34% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,461
+$428 P&L

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 2%, now 19% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,672
+$5,085 P&L

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes · entry 51%, now 46% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,187
−$578 P&L

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 58%, now 100% · ended Nov 1, 2026
$3,571
+$1,500 P&L

Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Yamal · entry 50%, now 28% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,568
−$2,945 P&L

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 18%, now 17% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,212
−$197 P&L

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 37%, now 11% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,088
−$7,202 P&L

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No · entry 52%, now 47% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,790
−$330 P&L

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 7%, now 59% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,461
+$2,180 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
No · entry 52%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$2,397
+$1,159 P&L

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 17%, now 19% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,706
+$180 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Bought No at 0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Bought No at 0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Bought No at 0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Bought No at 0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Bought No at 0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Bought No at 0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Bought No at 0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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