arbandy is down $165K in realized results on Polymarket, with 16M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$165K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 16M
- Portfolio value
- $21K
- Profit this month
- −$8,336
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 74%
How arbandy has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 146 (74%) ended in profit and 51 in a loss, for +$95K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 40%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 87 of the 197 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $21K together, the biggest is “Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?” (Yes) at 27% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Dec 3, 2025
+$19K
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 25, 2025
+$17K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Dec 2, 2025
+$17K
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 20?
Down · entry 9% · closed Nov 20, 2025
+$15K
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Jan 6, 2026
+$14K
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Dec 2, 2025
+$12K
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
No · entry 35% · closed Dec 3, 2025
+$11K
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Nov 21, 2025
+$10K
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 14?
Yes · entry 11% · closed May 14, 2026
+$8,936
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Dec 28, 2025
+$7,244
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
No · entry 4% · closed Dec 3, 2025
−$8,040
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Dec 3, 2025
−$7,383
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
Yes · entry 7% · closed Nov 13, 2025
−$7,356
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$7,245
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Nov 1, 2025
−$6,970
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Nov 25, 2025
−$5,826
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$5,192
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$4,342
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jan 2, 2026
−$3,557
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Nov 13, 2025
−$3,099
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Yes · entry 40%, now 41% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,561
+$174 P&L
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
Yes · entry 72%, now 77% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,313
+$370 P&L
No one announced as next James Bond?
Yes · entry 23%, now 26% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,454
+$270 P&L
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?
No · entry 33%, now 14% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,902
−$2,659 P&L
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 79%, now 96% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,473
+$254 P&L
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
No · entry 16%, now 17% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,270
+$52 P&L
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
No · entry 43%, now 16% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$943
−$1,663 P&L
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 33%, now 38% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$466
+$64 P&L
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?
Yes · entry 46%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$447
−$5,328 P&L
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 10%, now 6% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$284
−$189 P&L
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?
Yes · entry 3%, now 2% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$150
−$170 P&L
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?
Yes · entry 2%, now 1% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$100
−$100 P&L
Will Solana reach $130 in October?
Yes · entry 3%, now 2% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$100
−$55 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?
Yes · entry 6%, now 1% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$56
−$236 P&L
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?
Yes · entry 6%, now 0.5% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$55
−$595 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?
Bought Yes at 38%
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 17%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Sold No at 98%
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 17%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Sold No at 17%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Sold No at 17%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Sold No at 17%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Sold No at 17%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Sold No at 17%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Sold No at 17%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Sold No at 17%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Sold No at 17%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Sold No at 17%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Sold No at 17%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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