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Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner odds

Polymarket traders make The Odyssey the favorite for “Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner” at 45% (+0.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of You Can See Everything at 29%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Sep 26Oct 26
The OdysseyYou Can See EverythingLa Bola NegraDune: Part Three

All 27 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Show all 27 outcomes

Where this market stands

“Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner” is a Polymarket event with 27 open outcomes. The Odyssey leads at 45%, ahead of You Can See Everything at 29%. The Odyssey is up 0.5 points over the last 24 hours and down 2.5 points over the past week. Traders have put $584K through the event so far, including $20K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on July 1, 2027.

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How this market resolves

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner?
The Odyssey is the favorite at 45%, followed by You Can See Everything at 29% and La Bola Negra at 13%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Polymarket traders give The Odyssey a 45% chance, which is decimal odds of 2.22 (American +122): $1 staked on The Odyssey returns about $2.22 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.5 points.

Related odds

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

  • The Odyssey98%
  • La Bola Negra96%
  • Wild Horse Nine91%

$161K traded · $6,507 in 24h

Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations

  • The Odyssey94%
  • Dune: Part Three78%
  • Project Hail Mary64%

$23K traded · $7,267 in 24h

Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner

  • Wildwood68%
  • Toy Story 56%
  • Tangles6%

$73K traded · $6,559 in 24h