Metamask FDV above X one day after launch odds
The highest-priced market in “Metamask FDV above X one day after launch” is $300M at 12% (+7.4 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of $100M at 11%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 8 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 12%
$300M12%24h +7.4 ptsOdds 8.58US +758Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 11%
$100M11%24h +6.0 ptsOdds 9.22US +822Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 5%
$1B5%24h +0.2 ptsOdds 20.41US +1941Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 4%
$3B4%24h +0.3 ptsOdds 24.69US +2369Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 4%
$700M4%24h −0.3 ptsOdds 26.67US +2567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 4%
$500M4%24h −0.6 ptsOdds 27.03US +2603Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 3%
$2B3%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 35.71US +3471Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 2%
$4B2%24h −0.4 ptsOdds 50.00US +4900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Metamask FDV above X one day after launch” is a Polymarket event with 8 open outcomes. $300M has the highest price at 12%, ahead of $100M at 11%. $300M is up 7.4 points over the last 24 hours and up 7.1 points over the past week. Traders have put $3.4M through the event so far, including $9,261 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

Avoc bought No at 95%
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

timebrotime bought No at 95%
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?

timebrotime bought No at 94%
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?

predictgeek sold No at 95%
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

predictgeek sold No at 96%
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

art9393 bought No at 99%
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

art9393 bought No at 95%
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

dadadadayazi sold No at 92%
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

woleiruotang bought No at 91%
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

uwant bought No at 91%
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

predictgeek bought No at 87%
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

predictgeek bought No at 90%
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

pengpeng32 sold No at 33%
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

pengulover344 sold No at 34%
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

dramp3 sold No at 96%
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

y6tfd sold No at 89%
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

gatonekki sold No at 93%
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Mingooo sold No at 93%
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

XieGuangKun bought No at 88%
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

SeniorLaghetto bought No at 94%
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

SeniorLaghetto bought No at 94%
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

zzaqq2 bought No at 92%
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Decayer sold No at 75%
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

hitjnn214 bought No at 70%
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?

fuc.your.mother bought Yes at 33%
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

hsefhsjdkfs bought No at 92%
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

hsefhsjdkfs bought No at 83%
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

tsunn sold No at 87%
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

sipp- sold No at 82%
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Hyperlong sold No at 96%
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- Polymarket currently prices Yes at 12% in this market, which is decimal odds of 8.58 (American +758): $1 staked on Yes returns about $8.58 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 7.4 points.