2026 Maryland Governor Race odds
Polymarket traders make Wes Moore (D) the favorite for “Maryland Governor Election Winner” at >99% (+0.7 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Dan Cox (R) at 0.5%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 2 outcomes right now.
All 2 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- >99%
Wes Moore (D)>99%24h +0.7 ptsOdds 1.01US −18082Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.5%
Dan Cox (R)0.5%24h −0.7 ptsOdds 181.82US +18082Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Maryland Governor Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. Wes Moore (D) leads at >99%, ahead of Dan Cox (R) at 0.5%. Wes Moore (D) is up 0.7 points over the last 24 hours and up 1.8 points over the past week. Traders have put $30K through the event so far, including $179 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
No trades of $1,000 or more on this market recently.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in Maryland Governor Election Winner?
- Wes Moore (D) is the favorite at >99%, followed by Dan Cox (R) at 0.5%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
- Polymarket traders give Wes Moore (D) a >99% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.01 (American −18082): $1 staked on Wes Moore (D) returns about $1.01 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.7 points.
Related odds
Maryland Governor Election: Turnout
- 2.15M-2.3M52%
- 2.3M-2.45M21%
- 2M-2.15M18%
$24K traded · $3,288 in 24h
Maryland Governor Election Margin of Victory
- Democrat 20-25%28%
- Democrat 35-40%23%
- Democrat 40-45%17%
$24K traded · $263 in 24h
Ohio Governor Election Winner
- Amy Acton (D)81%
- Vivek Ramaswamy (R)20%
$1.7M traded · $209K in 24h