F1 Constructors' Champion odds
Polymarket traders make Mercedes the favorite for “F1 Constructors' Champion” at 98% (+0.2 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Ferrari at 1%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 4 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 98%
Mercedes98%24h +0.2 ptsOdds 1.02US −6352Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 1%
Ferrari1%24h +0.2 ptsOdds 68.97US +6797Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
McLaren<0.1%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Red Bull Racing<0.1%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“F1 Constructors' Champion” is a Polymarket event with 4 open outcomes. Mercedes leads at 98%, ahead of Ferrari at 1%. Mercedes is up 0.2 points over the last 24 hours and down 0.7 points over the past week. Traders have put $29M through the event so far, including $23K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on April 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

toasun bought Yes at 99%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

ImOldBruceWayne sold Yes at 99%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

mm4ker sold Yes at 99%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

CryptoLiu sold Yes at 99%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

ImOldBruceWayne sold Yes at 99%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

ImOldBruceWayne sold Yes at 99%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Lonely-Prince sold Yes at 99%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

That.Black.Guy bought Yes at 99%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

edisonyang sold Yes at 96%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

edisonyang sold Yes at 96%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

toasun bought Yes at 96%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c sold No at >99%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c bought No at >99%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c sold No at >99%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c bought No at >99%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c sold No at >99%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c bought No at >99%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c sold No at >99%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c bought No at >99%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c sold No at >99%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c bought No at >99%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c sold No at >99%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c bought No at >99%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c sold No at >99%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c bought No at >99%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c sold No at >99%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c bought No at >99%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c sold No at >99%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c bought No at >99%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

0xf89f…5e3c sold No at >99%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in F1 Constructors' Champion?
- Mercedes is the favorite at 98%, followed by Ferrari at 1% and McLaren at <0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- Polymarket traders give Mercedes a 98% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.02 (American −6352): $1 staked on Mercedes returns about $1.02 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.2 points.
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