
That.Black.Guy
0x1ce4…fbd1 · Joined October 30, 2020
That.Black.Guy has made $22K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #7,267 all time by profit, with 2.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$22K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.7M
- Portfolio value
- $189K
- Profit this month
- −$195
- Win rate (last 129 closed)
- 47%
How That.Black.Guy has traded
Across all 129 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 60 (47%) ended in profit and 69 in a loss, for +$22K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 45%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 4 largest open positions listed below, worth $189K together, the biggest is “Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?” (Yes) at 70% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
No · entry 95% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$9,399

Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?
No · entry 89% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$5,312

Xi Jinping out in 2025?
No · entry 97% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$4,826

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
No · entry 97% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$3,309

76ers vs. Nets
76ers · entry 97% · closed Nov 3, 2025
+$3,006

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
No · entry 91% · closed Jan 20, 2021
+$2,359

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
No · entry 3% · closed Aug 12, 2026
+$1,510

Will Trump complete his first term?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Jan 20, 2021
+$1,431

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Dec 3, 2025
+$1,200

Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia?
No · entry 89% · closed Dec 15, 2020
+$976
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Nov 5, 2025
−$9,626

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Nov 5, 2025
−$2,085

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Dec 7, 2025
−$726

Will Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Nov 5, 2025
−$544

Will Andrew Cuomo say "Next mayor" during his victory/concession speech?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Nov 18, 2025
−$309

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
No · entry 0.2% · closed Sep 15, 2026
−$191

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
No · entry 2% · closed Apr 30, 2025
−$184

Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Sep 15, 2026
−$107

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Sep 15, 2026
−$103

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes · entry 15% · closed May 19, 2026
−$71
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Yes · entry 99%, now 98% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$131K
−$729 P&L

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 89%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$57K
+$5,249 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 38%, now 32% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$83
−$17 P&L

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes · entry 92%, now >99% · ends Dec 6, 2026
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 47%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 47%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 47%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 21%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 16%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 47%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 43%
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 20%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 29%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 60%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 60%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?

Sold No at 97%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Bought Yes at 92%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Bought Yes at 99%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Sold Yes at 0.3%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
$0
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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