mm4ker has made $54K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #3,387 all time by profit, with 2.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 19, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$54K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.7M
- Portfolio value
- $7,822
- Profit this month
- −$85
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 67%
How mm4ker has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 134 (67%) ended in profit and 65 in a loss, for +$9,192 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 65%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 13 largest open positions listed below, worth $7,822 together, the biggest is “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?” (No) at 55% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 31% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$24K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$23K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$12K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$9,023
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
No · entry 16% · closed Jun 20, 2026
+$6,521
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
No · entry 67% · closed Apr 23, 2026
+$6,404
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
No · entry 75% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$5,000
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Yes · entry 54% · closed May 30, 2026
+$3,651
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 78% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$3,617
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
No · entry 83% · closed Jan 27, 2026
+$3,176
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 58% · closed Jun 23, 2026
−$16K
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Egypt · entry 88% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$15K
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
No · entry 42% · closed Jun 12, 2026
−$8,903
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
No · entry 84% · closed Jun 12, 2026
−$8,654
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
No · entry 67% · closed May 21, 2026
−$7,982
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$7,682
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Yes · entry 85% · closed May 30, 2026
−$7,500
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
No · entry 5% · closed Apr 12, 2026
−$5,960
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$5,009
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$5,001
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No · entry 73%, now 76% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,330
+$147 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 50%, now 17% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,708
−$3,447 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 35%, now 14% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$771
−$1,229 P&L
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No · entry 58%, now 77% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$289
+$68 P&L
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
No · entry 88%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$259
+$9 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 68%, now 45% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$197
−$103 P&L
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes · entry 64%, now 20% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$89
−$201 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 29%, now 8% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$51
−$149 P&L
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Yes · entry 23%, now 10% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$47
−$67 P&L
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
No · entry 85%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Yes · entry 13%, now 7% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27
−$27 P&L
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?
Yes · entry 1%, now 0.5% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10
−$15 P&L
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
No · entry 80%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades
Sold No at 87%
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Sold No at 89%
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Sold No at 0.2%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Sold No at 76%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Sold No at 92%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
Sold No at 90%
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Sold No at 79%
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Sold Yes at 74%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Sold No at 84%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Sold Yes at 89%
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Sold Yes at 99%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Sold No at 93%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 97%
Iran leadership change by October 31?
Sold Yes at 98%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Sold Yes at 18%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
$1,292
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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