
toasun has made $667 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #100,924 all time by profit, with 206K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$667
- All-time volume (shares)
- 206K
- Portfolio value
- $4,152
- Profit this month
- −$92
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 81%
How toasun has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 161 (81%) ended in profit and 38 in a loss, for +$1,880 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 84%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 111 of the 199 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 4 largest open positions listed below, worth $4,152 together, the biggest is “Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?” (Yes) at 96% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Nov 6, 2025
+$299

Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
No · entry 87% · closed Sep 6, 2026
+$289

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance
United States · entry 84% · closed Jul 2, 2026
+$271

Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Jul 4, 2026
+$265

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
England · entry 55% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$252

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$227

Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland
Canada · entry 79% · closed Feb 20, 2026
+$112

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
No · entry 59% · closed Jul 1, 2025
+$107

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Oct 17, 2026
+$98

Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5
Over · entry 91% · closed Jun 20, 2026
+$96
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Felix Gall win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?
No · entry 99% · closed Aug 30, 2026
−$437

Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Sep 14, 2026
−$378

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
No · entry 96% · closed Sep 6, 2026
−$333

Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$253

England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
Under · entry 95% · closed Jul 15, 2026
−$234

Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)
Sweden · entry 84% · closed Jun 20, 2026
−$192

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
Under · entry 91% · closed Jun 12, 2026
−$191

Euro Basket: Finland vs Serbia
Serbia · entry 92% · closed Sep 7, 2025
−$184

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
No · entry 83% · closed Mar 8, 2026
−$178

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)
Argentina · entry 98% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$80
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Yes · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,981
+$39 P&L

Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?
Yes · entry 92%, now 87% · ends Nov 29, 2026

Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
Yes · entry 76%, now 54% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$46
−$18 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 64%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 76%
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 99%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?
Bought Yes at 91%
Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?

Bought Deportivo Alavés at 97%
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)

Bought Deportivo Alavés at 97%
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)

Bought No at 98%
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-18?

Bought No at 98%
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-18?

Bought Yes at 99%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?

Bought Yes at 99%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?

Bought Yes at 99%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?

Bought Yes at 99%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?

Bought Yes at 99%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?

Bought Yes at 99%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?

Bought Yes at 99%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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