carboyant has made $1,847 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #55,904 all time by profit, with 2.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$1,847
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.6M
- Portfolio value
- $2,750
- Profit this month
- +$401
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 92%
How carboyant has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 182 (92%) ended in profit and 16 in a loss, for +$1,909 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 93%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 184 of the 198 are about culture and entertainment, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $2,750 together, the biggest is “Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?” (No) at 71% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Aug 8, 2025
+$983
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Oct 3, 2026
+$885
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Oct 3, 2026
+$359
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Dec 21, 2024
+$358
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
No · entry 55% · closed Dec 8, 2024
+$180
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
No · entry 93% · closed Oct 10, 2025
+$129
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$94
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 7, 2026
+$77
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Mar 25, 2025
+$77
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
No · entry 63% · closed Jun 13, 2026
+$73
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Feb 13, 2026
−$1,177
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 3, 2026
−$495
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
No · entry 96% · closed Jan 20, 2025
−$319
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Feb 13, 2026
−$251
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 9, 2026
−$189
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 8, 2026
−$177
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
No · entry 77% · closed Jun 13, 2026
−$155
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 8, 2026
−$121
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 13-20?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Dec 20, 2024
−$118
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Oct 29, 2025
−$107
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,946
+$2 P&L
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$804
+$1 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at >99%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.