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Elon Musk tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026 odds

Polymarket traders make 300-319 the favorite for “Elon Musk tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026” at 19% (+3.0 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of 320-339 at 17%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 20Oct 25
300-319320-339280-299340-359

All 24 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Show all 24 outcomes

Where this market stands

“Elon Musk tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026” is a Polymarket event with 24 open outcomes. 300-319 leads at 19%, ahead of 320-339 at 17%. 300-319 is up 3.0 points over the last 24 hours and unchanged over the past week. Traders have put $307K through the event so far, including $86K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on October 30, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in Elon Musk tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
300-319 is the favorite at 19%, followed by 320-339 at 17% and 280-299 at 16%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
Polymarket traders give 300-319 a 19% chance, which is decimal odds of 5.41 (American +441): $1 staked on 300-319 returns about $5.41 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 3.0 points.

Related odds

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

  • 320-33933%
  • 340-35924%
  • 300-31923%

$1.2M traded · $293K in 24h

Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?

  • 65-8954%
  • 90-11440%
  • 115-1396%

$360K traded · $261K in 24h

Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?

  • 280-29914%
  • 300-31914%
  • 260-27913%

$74K traded · $45K in 24h