Elonurmom has made $10K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #14,958 all time by profit, with 7.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 23, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$10K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 7.6M
- Portfolio value
- $19K
- Profit this month
- +$11K
- Win rate (last 186 closed)
- 38%
How Elonurmom has traded
Across the 186 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 71 (38%) ended in profit and 115 in a loss, for +$76K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 24%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 184 of the 186 are about culture and entertainment, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 3 largest open positions listed below, worth $19K together, the biggest is “2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House” (No) at 70% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Yes · entry 5% · closed May 19, 2026
+$14K
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Mar 31, 2026
+$13K
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Apr 21, 2026
+$12K
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Yes · entry 28% · closed May 1, 2026
+$9,695
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Mar 20, 2026
+$9,314
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Apr 14, 2026
+$8,537
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Jun 12, 2026
+$8,062
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Apr 7, 2026
+$7,696
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$7,494
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Apr 10, 2026
+$7,451
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Apr 28, 2026
−$2,270
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
No · entry 94% · closed Feb 10, 2026
−$1,685
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
No · entry 78% · closed Oct 21, 2025
−$1,338
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Yes · entry 19% · closed May 5, 2026
−$1,317
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Mar 10, 2026
−$1,160
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Yes · entry 9% · closed May 4, 2026
−$1,137
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Dec 24, 2024
−$1,098
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Aug 5, 2025
−$989
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
No · entry 95% · closed Jan 13, 2026
−$974
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
No · entry 84% · closed Aug 18, 2026
−$910
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 93%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
−$72 P&L
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
No · entry 81%, now 97% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,594
+$594 P&L
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now >99% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,246
+$246 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 93%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Bought No at 95%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Bought No at 90%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Bought No at 88%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Bought No at 82%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Bought No at 81%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Bought Yes at 9%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Bought Yes at 20%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Bought Yes at 25%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Bought Yes at 5%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Bought Yes at 7%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Bought Yes at 14%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
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