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Elon Musk tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026 odds

Polymarket traders make 280-299 the favorite for “Elon Musk tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026” at 14% (+2.0 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of 300-319 at 14%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 24Oct 25
280-299300-319260-279320-339

All 30 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Show all 30 outcomes

Where this market stands

“Elon Musk tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026” is a Polymarket event with 30 open outcomes. 280-299 leads at 14%, ahead of 300-319 at 14%. 280-299 is up 2.0 points over the last 24 hours and unchanged over the past week. Traders have put $74K through the event so far, including $45K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 3, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 27 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in Elon Musk tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
280-299 is the favorite at 14%, followed by 300-319 at 14% and 260-279 at 13%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
Polymarket traders give 280-299 a 14% chance, which is decimal odds of 6.90 (American +590): $1 staked on 280-299 returns about $6.90 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 2.0 points.

Related odds

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

  • 320-33933%
  • 340-35924%
  • 300-31923%

$1.2M traded · $293K in 24h

Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?

  • 65-8954%
  • 90-11440%
  • 115-1396%

$360K traded · $261K in 24h

Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?

  • 300-31919%
  • 320-33917%
  • 280-29916%

$307K traded · $86K in 24h