Skip to content
WhaleSays
Open Polymarket

CakeBake

0x9d80…fcaf · Joined May 12, 2026

#3,215,896 all time#4,356 this monthView on Polymarket

CakeBake is down $22K in realized results on Polymarket, with 3.6M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$22K
All-time volume (shares)
3.6M
Portfolio value
$10K
Profit this month
+$2,413
Win rate (last 200 closed)
90%

How CakeBake has traded

Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 179 (90%) ended in profit and 21 in a loss, for +$2,035 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 95%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 11 largest open positions listed below, worth $10K together, the biggest is “Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?” (No) at 34% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 3?

    Yes · entry 17% · closed May 19, 2026

    +$23K

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 4?

    Yes · entry 48% · closed May 20, 2026

    +$14K

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 55.5 and 56 million views on day 6?

    Yes · entry 19% · closed Jul 3, 2026

    +$4,661

  • Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?

    Yes · entry 83% · closed Sep 4, 2026

    +$4,607

  • Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?

    Yes · entry 75% · closed Sep 19, 2026

    +$3,232

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 54.5 and 55 million views on day 6?

    No · entry 44% · closed Jun 19, 2026

    +$1,810

  • Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?

    Yes · entry 91% · closed Oct 3, 2026

    +$1,570

  • Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 30 million or more views on day 5?

    Yes · entry 26% · closed Oct 1, 2026

    +$1,461

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?

    Yes · entry 75% · closed Jun 19, 2026

    +$843

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 52.5 million views on day 5?

    No · entry 52% · closed Jul 2, 2026

    +$803

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will MrBeast's next video get 53 million or more views on day 3?

    Yes · entry 17% · closed May 19, 2026

    −$4,542

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 3?

    Yes · entry 17% · closed May 19, 2026

    −$4,534

  • Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?

    No · entry 97% · closed Aug 1, 2026

    −$3,660

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 57 million views on day 4?

    Yes · entry 17% · closed May 20, 2026

    −$2,812

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?

    Yes · entry 16% · closed May 19, 2026

    −$2,739

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

    Yes · entry 28% · closed May 24, 2026

    −$2,343

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

    No · entry 87% · closed Jun 20, 2026

    −$1,629

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

    Yes · entry 86% · closed May 23, 2026

    −$1,550

  • ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh

    Bangladesh · entry 96% · closed Jul 6, 2026

    −$1,459

  • Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?

    Yes · entry 25% · closed Oct 22, 2026

    −$1,457

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

  • Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?

    No · entry >99%, now >99% · ended Oct 27, 2026

    $3,409

    +$31 P&L

  • Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?

    No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $1,997

    +$0 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?

    No · entry 99%, now >99% · ended Oct 27, 2026

    $1,913

    +$18 P&L

  • Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?

    No · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $996

    +$11 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

    No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Oct 30, 2026

    $706

    +$0 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?

    No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Nov 3, 2026

    $375

    +$0 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

    No · entry >99%, now >99% · ended Oct 30, 2026

    $238

    +$0 P&L

  • Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?

    No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Nov 3, 2026

    $202

    −$0 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?

    No · entry >99%, now >99% · ended Oct 27, 2026

    $199

    +$1 P&L

  • Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

    No · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Oct 30, 2026

    $77

    +$1 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?

    No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Oct 27, 2026

    $50

    +$0 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.