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Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner odds

Polymarket traders make Iliana Iotova the favorite for “Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner” at 91% (−7.2 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Andrey Gyurov at 9%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Sep 26Oct 25
Iliana IotovaAndrey GyurovKostadin KostadinovNikolai Denkov

All 14 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner” is a Polymarket event with 14 open outcomes. Iliana Iotova leads at 91%, ahead of Andrey Gyurov at 9%. Iliana Iotova is down 7.2 points over the last 24 hours and down 5.3 points over the past week. Traders have put $156K through the event so far, including $118K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on October 25, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner?
Iliana Iotova is the favorite at 91%, followed by Andrey Gyurov at 9% and Kostadin Kostadinov at <0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Polymarket traders give Iliana Iotova a 91% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.10 (American −1036): $1 staked on Iliana Iotova returns about $1.10 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 7.2 points.

Related odds

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

  • Andrey Gyurov85%
  • Iliana Iotova8%
  • Kostadin Kostadinov0.1%

$38K traded · $19K in 24h

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

  • Kostadin Kostadinov98%
  • Nikolai Denkov1%
  • Atanas Atanasov1%

$12K traded · $2,516 in 24h

Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria

  • Srdanović, Iotova40%
  • Srdanović, Gyurov37%
  • Vučić, Gyurov5%

$3,012 traded · $2,053 in 24h