archaic has made $195K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,072 all time by profit, with 29M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$195K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 29M
- Portfolio value
- $170K
- Profit this month
- +$6,873
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 93%
How archaic has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 185 (93%) ended in profit and 15 in a loss, for +$14K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 80%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 160 of the 200 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $71K together, the biggest is “Will GameStop acquire eBay?” (No) at 12% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$3,505
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Feb 23, 2026
+$2,812
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Yes · entry 0.3% · closed Jun 2, 2025
+$2,693
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed May 19, 2025
+$2,689
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 11, 2026
+$2,675
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$2,047
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
No · entry >99% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$2,014
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
No · entry 99% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$1,864
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
No · entry 99% · closed Oct 14, 2026
+$1,831
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
No · entry >99% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$1,828
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No · entry 14% · closed Sep 2, 2026
−$3,951
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Sep 19, 2026
−$2,674
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Mar 5, 2026
−$1,917
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 82% · closed Jul 2, 2026
−$1,611
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?
No · entry 6% · closed Jul 2, 2026
−$1,599
Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Dec 8, 2025
−$1,519
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 75% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$1,323
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
No · entry 97% · closed Dec 8, 2025
−$1,105
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?
No · entry 92% · closed Jul 2, 2026
−$790
US military action against Iran before July?
No · entry 57% · closed Jul 2, 2026
−$700
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No · entry 91%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,515
+$245 P&L
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
Yes · entry 95%, now 97% · ended Aug 13, 2026
$7,421
+$161 P&L
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,207
−$94 P&L
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,543
+$100 P&L
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,059
+$97 P&L
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
No · entry 96%, now 99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,332
+$180 P&L
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 90%, now 89% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,704
−$55 P&L
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,656
+$179 P&L
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,596
+$191 P&L
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,388
−$28 P&L
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Yes · entry 94%, now 94% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,331
+$10 P&L
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
No · entry 92%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,098
+$158 P&L
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
No · entry 87%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,085
+$125 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,757
+$0 P&L
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 87%, now 86% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,578
−$46 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 97%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?
Sold No at 85%
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Sold No at 70%
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Bought No at >99%
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?
Sold No at 79%
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Bought No at 98%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
Sold No at >99%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought No at 98%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
Bought No at 98%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
Bought No at 92%
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 92%
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 94%
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Sold No at 70%
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Bought No at 99%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Sold No at 93%
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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