Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria odds
Polymarket traders make Srdanović, Iotova the favorite for “Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria” at 42% (+26 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Srdanović, Gyurov at 37%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 4 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 42%
Srdanović, Iotova42%24h +26 ptsOdds 2.38US +138Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 37%Srdanović, Gyurov37%24h +20 ptsOdds 2.74US +174Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 5%Vučić, Gyurov5%24h −5.5 ptsOdds 20.00US +1900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 4%Vučić, Iotova4%24h −65 ptsOdds 25.00US +2400Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria” is a Polymarket event with 4 open outcomes. Srdanović, Iotova leads at 42%, ahead of Srdanović, Gyurov at 37%. Srdanović, Iotova is up 26 points over the last 24 hours and up 13 points over the past week. Traders have put $3,045 through the event so far, including $2,086 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 2, 2026.
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How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.
This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election, including any second round.
For full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642
For full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election
Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution.
In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Who is the favorite in Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria?
- Srdanović, Iotova is the favorite at 42%, followed by Srdanović, Gyurov at 37% and Vučić, Gyurov at 5%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?
- Polymarket traders give Srdanović, Iotova a 42% chance, which is decimal odds of 2.38 (American +138): $1 staked on Srdanović, Iotova returns about $2.38 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 26 points.
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