nope3050 has made $391 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #128,227 all time by profit, with 720K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$391
- All-time volume (shares)
- 720K
- Portfolio value
- $69K
- Profit this month
- +$3,403
- Win rate (last 120 closed)
- 60%
How nope3050 has traded
Across all 120 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 72 (60%) ended in profit and 48 in a loss, for +$976 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 64%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $59K together, the biggest is “Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?” (No) at 11% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Oct 21, 2026
+$2,301
Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Sep 6, 2026
+$1,520
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Sep 20, 2026
+$1,155
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
No · entry 67% · closed Oct 22, 2026
+$870
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$621
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Oct 15, 2026
+$597
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Frances Tiafoe · entry 34% · closed Sep 8, 2026
+$580
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?
No · entry 93% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$504
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
No · entry 87% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$501
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Oct 2, 2026
+$499
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
No · entry 57% · closed Sep 20, 2026
−$2,556
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 66% · closed Oct 3, 2026
−$1,902
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Sep 9, 2026
−$1,728
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz · entry 38% · closed Sep 11, 2026
−$1,195
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Sep 6, 2026
−$777
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Sep 1, 2026
−$761
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Oct 20, 2026
−$498
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Oct 7, 2026
−$418
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$331
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
No · entry 29% · closed Oct 2, 2026
−$308
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
No · entry 80%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,488
+$445 P&L
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 89%, now 92% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,213
+$210 P&L
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
No · entry 86%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,904
+$340 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 84%, now 87% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,590
+$133 P&L
Iran leadership change by November 30?
No · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,477
−$59 P&L
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
No · entry 87%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,252
−$31 P&L
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?
No · entry 93%, now >99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,176
+$300 P&L
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?
No · entry 85%, now 93% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,158
+$261 P&L
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No · entry 77%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,821
+$421 P&L
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 83%, now 88% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,656
+$144 P&L
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?
No · entry 96%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,518
+$86 P&L
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes · entry 86%, now 69% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,153
−$544 P&L
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No · entry 56%, now 60% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,140
+$134 P&L
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 72%, now 71% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,132
−$54 P&L
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,903
+$8 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 84%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Bought Yes at 84%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Bought Yes at 84%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Bought No at 5%
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Bought No at 5%
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Bought No at 5%
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Sold No at >99%
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?
Bought No at 90%
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?
Bought Yes at 85%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Bought Yes at 86%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Bought Yes at 86%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Sold Yes at 72%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 77%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 77%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 77%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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