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Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place odds

Polymarket traders make Kostadin Kostadinov the favorite for “Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place” at 99% (+4.8 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Nikolai Denkov at 0.9%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 12Oct 25
Kostadin KostadinovNikolai DenkovAtanas AtanasovBlagomir Kotsev

All 14 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place” is a Polymarket event with 14 open outcomes. Kostadin Kostadinov leads at 99%, ahead of Nikolai Denkov at 0.9%. Kostadin Kostadinov is up 4.8 points over the last 24 hours and up 14 points over the past week. Traders have put $12K through the event so far, including $2,516 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on October 25, 2026.

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How this market resolves

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place?
Kostadin Kostadinov is the favorite at 99%, followed by Nikolai Denkov at 0.9% and Atanas Atanasov at 0.9%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Polymarket traders give Kostadin Kostadinov a 99% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.01 (American −7043): $1 staked on Kostadin Kostadinov returns about $1.01 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 4.8 points.

Related odds

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

  • Andrey Gyurov91%
  • Iliana Iotova5%
  • Kostadin Kostadinov0.1%

$38K traded · $20K in 24h

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner

  • Iliana Iotova92%
  • Andrey Gyurov8%
  • Kostadin Kostadinov<0.1%

$159K traded · $121K in 24h

Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria

  • Srdanović, Iotova42%
  • Srdanović, Gyurov37%
  • Vučić, Gyurov5%

$3,045 traded · $2,086 in 24h