balerinacapuchina
0xd86d…648d · Joined May 16, 2025
balerinacapuchina has made $26K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #6,318 all time by profit, with 1.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$26K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.7M
- Portfolio value
- $188K
- Profit this month
- +$15K
- Win rate (last 194 closed)
- 79%
How balerinacapuchina has traded
Across the 194 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 153 (79%) ended in profit and 41 in a loss, for +$38K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 75%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $187K together, the biggest is “Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No) at 53% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Jun 4, 2025
+$12K

2025 September second hottest on record?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Nov 14, 2025
+$9,481

Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 20?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Jun 20, 2025
+$5,272

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$5,113

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
No · entry 97% · closed Jul 9, 2025
+$3,982

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
No · entry 58% · closed May 20, 2026
+$3,770

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
No · entry 92% · closed Jul 1, 2025
+$3,742

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
No · entry 88% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$3,146

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Nov 14, 2025
+$2,704

Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
No · entry 66% · closed Aug 5, 2026
+$2,043
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Jun 27, 2025
−$25K

Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?
No · entry 90% · closed Jul 1, 2025
−$4,768

Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
No · entry 83% · closed Aug 7, 2025
−$2,479

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$2,032
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?
No · entry 95% · closed Aug 1, 2025
−$1,973

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$1,724

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Apr 5, 2026
−$1,388

Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?
No · entry 93% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$1,228

2025 September third hottest on record?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Apr 5, 2026
−$1,216

Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?
Yes · entry 59% · closed Aug 1, 2025
−$1,170
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50%, now 99% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$99K
+$49K P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 55%, now 86% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
+$7,776 P&L

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Yes · entry 72%, now 89% · ends Mar 2, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
+$3,612 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 24%, now 85% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18K
+$13K P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,150
−$50 P&L

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 69%, now 69% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,110
−$30 P&L

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
Yes · entry 30%, now 92% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,578
+$1,726 P&L

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes · entry 85%, now 69% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,569
−$628 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 66%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,500
−$140 P&L

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 71%, now 73% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,175
+$45 P&L

Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,410
+$25 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 86%, now 86% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,290
+$0 P&L

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50%, now 1% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,257
−$49K P&L

Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Yes · entry 98%, now 89% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$995
−$95 P&L

Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 76%, now 76% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$981
−$7 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 78%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 78%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 78%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 78%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 78%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 74%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 53%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Bought Yes at 58%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Bought Yes at 74%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 43%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Bought Yes at 58%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 58%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 57%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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