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Will Base launch a token by X? Live odds

The highest-priced market in “Will Base launch a token by X” is December 31, 2027 at 45% (+4.0 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of June 30, 2027 at 20%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 3 outcomes right now.

Sep 26Oct 25
December 31, 2027June 30, 2027December 31, 2026

All 3 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Will Base launch a token by X” is a Polymarket event with 3 open outcomes. December 31, 2027 has the highest price at 45%, ahead of June 30, 2027 at 20%. December 31, 2027 is up 4.0 points over the last 24 hours and up 3.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $8.1M through the event so far, including $1,529 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

All whale trades

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 45% in this market, which is decimal odds of 2.25 (American +125): $1 staked on Yes returns about $2.25 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 4.0 points.

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