
bravelittleguy
0x1d66…928f · Joined October 17, 2025
bravelittleguy is down $1,982 in realized results on Polymarket, with 1.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 7, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$1,982
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.0M
- Portfolio value
- $15K
- Profit this month
- −$105
- Win rate (last 194 closed)
- 59%
How bravelittleguy has traded
Across the 194 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 114 (59%) ended in profit and 80 in a loss, for −$531 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 71%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 8 largest open positions listed below, worth $15K together, the biggest is “Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” (Yes) at 74% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No · entry 78% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$850

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
No · entry 88% · closed May 1, 2026
+$690

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$667

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
No · entry 84% · closed Apr 23, 2026
+$409

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$399

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$390

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 94% · closed Aug 6, 2026
+$338

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Jun 16, 2026
+$282

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
No · entry 95% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$238

Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$215
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 66% · closed May 1, 2026
−$770

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
No · entry 81% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$717

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
No · entry 88% · closed Apr 3, 2026
−$563

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
No · entry 63% · closed Jun 12, 2026
−$465

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Yes · entry 87% · closed May 27, 2026
−$444

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Apr 22, 2026
−$426

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Jul 11, 2026
−$384

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 2% · closed May 26, 2026
−$281

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
No · entry 50% · closed Jun 24, 2026
−$189

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$188
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 85%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$1,242 P&L

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,286
+$26 P&L

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?
No · entry 92%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,262
+$30 P&L

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
No · entry 88%, now 97% · ends Jan 29, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,167
+$111 P&L

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 96%, now >99% · ends Jan 29, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$115
+$5 P&L

Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 97% · ends Dec 31, 2026

Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?
No · entry 93%, now 84% · ends Apr 1, 2027

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 2%, now 0.9% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16
−$15 P&L
Recent trades

Sold Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Sold No at 91%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Sold Senators at 46%
Senators vs. Red Wings

Bought Islanders at 41%
Islanders vs. Rangers

Bought Senators at 47%
Senators vs. Red Wings

Sold No at >99%
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

Bought No at >99%
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

Sold No at 89%
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?

Sold Yes at 0.5%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
$3,378

Sold No at 42%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
$135

Sold No at 42%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
$8

Sold No at 42%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
$7

Sold No at 42%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
$8

Sold No at 42%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
$3
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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