lostmansoul has made $409 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #125,739 all time by profit, with 543K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$409
- All-time volume (shares)
- 543K
- Portfolio value
- $6,204
- Profit this month
- +$1,365
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 72%
How lostmansoul has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 143 (72%) ended in profit and 56 in a loss, for +$2,304 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 63%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 119 of the 199 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 9 largest open positions listed below, worth $6,204 together, the biggest is “Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” (Yes) at 50% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Nov 6, 2025
+$570
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 86% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$196
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
No · entry 88% · closed May 3, 2026
+$158
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
No · entry 94% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$138
Predators vs. Ducks
Predators · entry 45% · closed Apr 9, 2026
+$122
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No · entry 90% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$108
Will Solana reach $240 in October?
No · entry 91% · closed Nov 1, 2025
+$106
Flyers vs. Red Wings
Flyers · entry 43% · closed Mar 30, 2026
+$106
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No · entry 48% · closed Jul 19, 2026
+$105
Blues vs. Senators
Blues · entry 50% · closed Oct 14, 2026
+$102
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Yes · entry 51% · closed May 8, 2026
−$347
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Nov 23, 2025
−$153
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes
Blue Jackets · entry 39% · closed Apr 4, 2026
−$120
Penguins vs. Islanders
Islanders · entry 54% · closed Apr 4, 2026
−$110
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks
Ducks · entry 61% · closed Apr 4, 2026
−$100
Senators vs. Red Wings
Red Wings · entry 54% · closed Mar 26, 2026
−$100
Capitals vs. Devils
Capitals · entry 49% · closed Apr 4, 2026
−$100
Sabres vs. Senators
Sabres · entry 48% · closed Apr 4, 2026
−$100
Islanders vs. Senators
Islanders · entry 42% · closed Mar 21, 2026
−$100
Blues vs. Kings
Blues · entry 47% · closed Apr 4, 2026
−$95
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 90%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,094
+$210 P&L
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,020
+$20 P&L
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$917
+$55 P&L
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$451
+$13 P&L
Will the Ottawa Senators be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
Yes · entry 2%, now 3% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$293
+$93 P&L
Will the Utah Mammoth be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
Yes · entry 2%, now 3% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$244
+$84 P&L
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 40%, now 40% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Will the St. Louis Blues be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
Yes · entry 0.5%, now 0.7% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$80
+$23 P&L
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 78%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades
Bought Senators at 54%
Rangers vs. Senators
Bought Oilers at 58%
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers
Bought Over at 46%
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5
Bought No at 94%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Bought Blackhawks at 37%
Stars vs. Blackhawks
Bought Kraken at 36%
Kraken vs. Panthers
Bought Ducks at 48%
Ducks vs. Devils
Bought Under at 60%
Senators vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5
Bought Under at 50%
Senators vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5
Bought Under at 53%
Islanders vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
Bought Blues at 49%
Blues vs. Senators
Bought Predators at 38%
Predators vs. Canadiens
Bought Senators at 54%
Flyers vs. Senators
Bought Islanders at 42%
Islanders vs. Rangers
Bought Wild at 52%
Wild vs. Sabres
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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