churna has made $2,850 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #39,950 all time by profit, with 812K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 18, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$2,850
- All-time volume (shares)
- 812K
- Portfolio value
- $17K
- Profit this month
- +$265
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 77%
How churna has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 152 (77%) ended in profit and 45 in a loss, for +$1,766 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 75%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 11 largest open positions listed below, worth $17K together, the biggest is “Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 32% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 71% · closed Jun 10, 2026
+$884
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
No · entry 84% · closed Apr 19, 2026
+$435
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 26, 2026
+$409
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Gold · entry 62% · closed Jan 29, 2026
+$306
Will Adam Novotný be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?
No · entry 92% · closed Jun 27, 2026
+$223
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
No · entry 94% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$214
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$212
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
No · entry 82% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$195
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 28% · closed Jul 16, 2026
+$191
Trump out as President by June 30?
No · entry 96% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$173
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No · entry 93% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$700
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 59% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$442
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
No · entry 91% · closed Jun 20, 2026
−$342
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Jun 24, 2026
−$308
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Jul 23, 2026
−$293
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Jun 12, 2026
−$194
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Yes · entry 49% · closed May 8, 2026
−$181
Will PPI YoY be between 6.0% and 6.9% in May?
No · entry 55% · closed Jun 11, 2026
−$174
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 80% · closed May 29, 2026
−$146
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$133
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 82%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,351
+$783 P&L
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 89%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,779
+$368 P&L
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 59%, now 65% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,852
+$171 P&L
Trump out as President before 2027?
No · entry 93%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,520
+$40 P&L
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 60%, now 66% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,096
+$92 P&L
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 94%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$682
+$22 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$554
+$54 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 84%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$483
−$17 P&L
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$233
+$13 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$210
+$10 P&L
Will Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades
Bought No at 95%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 96%
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 94%
Will Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 93%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
$1,600
Sold Yes at 96%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
$284
Sold Yes at 96%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
$26
Sold Yes at 96%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
$5
Sold Yes at 96%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
$7
Sold Yes at 96%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
$11
Sold Yes at 96%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
$68
Sold Yes at 96%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
$136
Sold Yes at 96%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
$6
Sold Yes at 96%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
$5
Sold Yes at 96%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
$8
Sold Yes at 96%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
$214
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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