Skip to content
WhaleSays
Open Polymarket

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? Live odds

Polymarket traders make $1.50–$1.75T the favorite for “What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be” at 60% (+5.1 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of $1.75–$2.00T at 25%.

Start trading on PolymarketAffiliate link · 18+ · trading involves riskView this market on Polymarket

Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Sep 26Oct 26
$1.50–$1.75T$1.75–$2.00T$2.00–$2.25T$1.25–$1.50T

All 8 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be” is a Polymarket event with 8 open outcomes. $1.50–$1.75T leads at 60%, ahead of $1.75–$2.00T at 25%. $1.50–$1.75T is up 5.1 points over the last 24 hours and up 16 points over the past week. Traders have put $225K through the event so far, including $10K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

All whale trades

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of Anthropic at its initial public offering (IPO) price. Anthropic refers to Anthropic PBC or the corporate successor or parent holding company whose listing represents Anthropic's business.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting.

If the determined valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If Anthropic's IPO has not priced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". If the IPO prices by the deadline, the market will resolve according to the final prospectus even if it is published after the end date.

If Anthropic becomes publicly traded without a priced initial public offering, including through a direct listing or through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$1.50–$1.75T is the favorite at 60%, followed by $1.75–$2.00T at 25% and $2.00–$2.25T at 4%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?
Polymarket traders give $1.50–$1.75T a 60% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.66 (American −151): $1 staked on $1.50–$1.75T returns about $1.66 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 5.1 points.

Related odds

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

  • $1.75–$2.0T30%
  • $2.0–$2.25T19%
  • $1.5–$1.75T19%

$2.4M traded · $100K in 24h

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

  • ↑$1.5T87%
  • ↑$1.75T78%
  • ↑$2.0T59%

$6.1M traded · $27K in 24h

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

  • December 3194%
  • October 3045%
  • October 3143%

$1.0M traded · $39K in 24h