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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 odds

The highest-priced market in “SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15” is Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? at 76% (+10 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of November 30, 2026 at 72%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Sep 29Oct 26
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?November 30, 2026Chopsticks catch Starship?Super Heavy booster explodes?

All 7 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15” is a Polymarket event with 7 open outcomes. Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? has the highest price at 76%, ahead of November 30, 2026 at 72%. Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? is up 10 points over the last 24 hours and up 14 points over the past week. Traders have put $45K through the event so far, including $2,054 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on July 1, 2027.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15.

Each outcome in this event has its own resolution rules. Read them on the Polymarket market page before you trade.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 76% in this market, which is decimal odds of 1.32 (American −317): $1 staked on Yes returns about $1.32 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 10 points.

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