1walrus has made $39K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,544 all time by profit, with 3.1M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$39K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.1M
- Portfolio value
- $35K
- Profit this month
- +$5,342
- Win rate (last 192 closed)
- 43%
How 1walrus has traded
Across the 192 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 82 (43%) ended in profit and 110 in a loss, for −$7,493 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 42%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $30K together, the biggest is “Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?” (No) at 26% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Yes · entry 0.2% · closed May 27, 2026
+$19K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No · entry 0.3% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$15K
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?
No · entry 1.0% · closed Jul 25, 2026
+$8,639
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?
No · entry 1% · closed Jul 17, 2026
+$8,082
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$4,222
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
Yes · entry 0.3% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$4,017
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?
No · entry 0.3% · closed Oct 8, 2026
+$3,948
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
No · entry 10% · closed May 1, 2026
+$3,755
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
No · entry 20% · closed May 23, 2026
+$3,479
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
No · entry 15% · closed Jul 25, 2026
+$3,114
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No · entry >99% · closed May 27, 2026
−$18K
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 8, 2026
−$14K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Jun 18, 2026
−$13K
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Jul 25, 2026
−$7,303
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Yes · entry 99% · closed May 1, 2026
−$3,960
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Oct 8, 2026
−$3,492
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
No · entry 12% · closed Aug 13, 2026
−$2,564
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?
No · entry 98% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$2,533
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?
No · entry 87% · closed Oct 8, 2026
−$2,528
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
No · entry 97% · closed Sep 28, 2026
−$2,373
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?
No · entry 91%, now 93% · ends Nov 8, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,952
+$150 P&L
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?
No · entry 93%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$7,866
+$543 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,163
+$23 P&L
Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?
Yes · entry 99%, now 98% · ends Oct 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,084
−$20 P&L
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,644
+$78 P&L
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Yes · entry 96%, now 97% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$1,552
+$10 P&L
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
No · entry 96%, now 98% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$968
+$24 P&L
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 73%, now 74% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$883
+$11 P&L
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?
Yes · entry 68%, now 83% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$836
+$153 P&L
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
No · entry 57%, now 89% · ends Nov 8, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$507
+$178 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 63%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$484
+$9 P&L
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.90 ft MLLW or more?
Yes · entry 63%, now 66% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$403
+$17 P&L
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?
Yes · entry 44%, now 49% · ends Nov 8, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$395
+$36 P&L
Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?
No · entry 97%, now >99% · ends Oct 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$379
+$11 P&L
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes · entry 38%, now 44% · ends Nov 8, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$315
+$37 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at >99%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
Sold No at >99%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
Sold No at >99%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Bought No at 3%
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Bought Yes at 0.8%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Bought Yes at 93%
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Bought Yes at 3%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Bought Yes at 6%
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
Bought Yes at 60%
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.90 ft MLLW or more?
Sold No at >99%
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?
Sold Yes at >99%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold No at >99%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at >99%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.