bisonhead is down $385 in realized results on Polymarket, with 899K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$385
- All-time volume (shares)
- 899K
- Portfolio value
- $995
- Profit this month
- −$23
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 35%
How bisonhead has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 69 (35%) ended in profit and 131 in a loss, for −$112 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 25%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 147 of the 200 are about culture and entertainment, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 1 largest open positions listed below, worth $995 together, the biggest is “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?” (Yes) at 100% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Nov 15, 2025
+$1,599
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Yes · entry 53% · closed May 23, 2026
+$1,045
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Jul 25, 2026
+$904
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Jul 25, 2026
+$832
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Yes · entry 59% · closed Dec 17, 2025
+$672
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Dec 30, 2025
+$487
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
No · entry 21% · closed Dec 25, 2025
+$372
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Dec 30, 2025
+$354
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Jan 23, 2026
+$333
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Yes · entry 10% · closed May 29, 2026
+$298
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Sep 28, 2026
−$1,750
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?
No · entry 46% · closed Dec 23, 2025
−$532
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Jan 31, 2026
−$497
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
No · entry 72% · closed Dec 9, 2025
−$460
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Dec 18, 2025
−$357
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Jan 17, 2026
−$316
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
No · entry 80% · closed Jan 13, 2026
−$305
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?
No · entry 63% · closed Sep 28, 2026
−$302
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Dec 17, 2025
−$291
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Yes · entry 15% · closed May 30, 2026
−$253
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 72%, now 72% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$995
−$5 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 72%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?
Bought Yes at 1%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
Bought Yes at 38%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
Sold Yes at 3%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Sold Yes at 13%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Sold Yes at 4%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Sold Yes at 28%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Sold Yes at 30%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Bought Yes at 5%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Sold Yes at 3%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Sold Yes at 21%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Bought Yes at 4%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Bought Yes at 3%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Sold Yes at 43%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Bought Yes at 14%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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