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Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations odds

The highest-priced market in “Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations” is The Odyssey at 98% (+0.1 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of La Bola Negra at 96%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Sep 26Oct 26
The OdysseyLa Bola NegraWild Horse NineDune: Part Three

All 22 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Show all 22 outcomes

Where this market stands

“Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations” is a Polymarket event with 22 open outcomes. The Odyssey has the highest price at 98%, ahead of La Bola Negra at 96%. The Odyssey is up 0.1 points over the last 24 hours and up 0.4 points over the past week. Traders have put $161K through the event so far, including $6,608 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on March 15, 2027.

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How this market resolves

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 98% in this market, which is decimal odds of 1.03 (American −3982): $1 staked on Yes returns about $1.03 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.1 points.

Related odds

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

  • The Odyssey45%
  • You Can See Everything28%
  • La Bola Negra13%

$584K traded · $20K in 24h

Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations

  • The Odyssey94%
  • Dune: Part Three78%
  • Project Hail Mary64%

$23K traded · $7,267 in 24h

Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner

  • Wildwood68%
  • Toy Story 56%
  • Tangles3%

$73K traded · $6,569 in 24h