NC-09 House Election Winner odds
Polymarket traders make Richard Hudson (R) the favorite for “NC-09 House Election Winner” at 67% (−6.0 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Richard Ojeda (D) at 31%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 2 outcomes right now.
All 2 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- Richard Hudson (R)67%67%24h −6.0 ptsOdds 1.49US −203Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Richard Ojeda (D)31%31%24h +3.0 ptsOdds 3.23US +223Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“NC-09 House Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. Richard Hudson (R) leads at 67%, ahead of Richard Ojeda (D) at 31%. Richard Hudson (R) is down 6.0 points over the last 24 hours and down 14 points over the past week. Traders have put $143K through the event so far, including $64K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
aenews2 bought Yes at 31%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?
aenews2 bought Yes at 30%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?
Istaroth bought Yes at 32%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?
0x955c…990f bought Yes at 26%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?
SitsToPee bought Yes at 80%
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Who is the favorite in NC-09 House Election Winner?
- Richard Hudson (R) is the favorite at 67%, followed by Richard Ojeda (D) at 31%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
- Polymarket traders give Richard Hudson (R) a 67% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.49 (American −203): $1 staked on Richard Hudson (R) returns about $1.49 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 6.0 points.
Related odds
NC-13 House Election Winner
- Brad Knott (R)67%
- Paul Barringer (D)32%
$157K traded · $139K in 24h
Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Democratic Party92%
- Republican Party8%
$23M traded · $1.5M in 24h
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democrats Sweep66%
- R Senate, D House26%
- Republicans Sweep8%
$38M traded · $749K in 24h