NC-13 House Election Winner odds
Polymarket traders make Brad Knott (R) the favorite for “NC-13 House Election Winner” at 67% (−12 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Paul Barringer (D) at 33%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 2 outcomes right now.
All 2 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- Brad Knott (R)67%67%24h −12 ptsOdds 1.50US −199Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Paul Barringer (D)33%33%24h +12 ptsOdds 3.08US +208Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“NC-13 House Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. Brad Knott (R) leads at 67%, ahead of Paul Barringer (D) at 33%. Brad Knott (R) is down 12 points over the last 24 hours and down 21 points over the past week. Traders have put $157K through the event so far, including $139K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
ZhouCD sold No at 67%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
skydodo sold No at 66%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
aenews2 bought Yes at 61%
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?
aenews2 sold Yes at 40%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed bought No at 60%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
aenews2 bought Yes at 26%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
aenews2 bought Yes at 26%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in NC-13 House Election Winner?
- Brad Knott (R) is the favorite at 67%, followed by Paul Barringer (D) at 33%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?
- Polymarket traders give Brad Knott (R) a 67% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.50 (American −199): $1 staked on Brad Knott (R) returns about $1.50 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 12 points.
Related odds
Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Democratic Party93%
- Republican Party8%
$23M traded · $1.5M in 24h
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democrats Sweep66%
- R Senate, D House26%
- Republicans Sweep8%
$37M traded · $576K in 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner
- James Talarico (D)64%
- Ken Paxton (R)37%
$6.4M traded · $321K in 24h