In which month will Anthropic IPO odds
Polymarket traders make November 2026 the favorite for “In which month will Anthropic IPO” at 61% (−2.8 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of December 2026 at 23%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 16 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- November 202661%61%24h −2.8 ptsOdds 1.63US −159Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- December 202623%23%24h +6.5 ptsOdds 4.37US +337Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- January 20276%6%24h −5.1 ptsOdds 15.87US +1487Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- March 20273%3%24h +1.5 ptsOdds 30.77US +2977Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- April 20272%2%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 43.48US +4248Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- February 20271%1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 71.43US +7043Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- October 20261%1%24h +0.7 ptsOdds 76.92US +7592Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- May 20271%1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 80.00US +7900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- No IPO before 20280.7%0.7%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 142.86US +14186Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- June 20270.5%0.5%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 200.00US +19900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- July 20270.5%0.5%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 200.00US +19900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- August 20270.4%0.4%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 250.00US +24900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- September 20270.4%0.4%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 250.00US +24900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- October 20270.4%0.4%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 250.00US +24900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- November 20270.4%0.4%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 250.00US +24900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Show all 16 outcomesShow fewer outcomes
- December 20270.4%0.4%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 250.00US +24900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“In which month will Anthropic IPO” is a Polymarket event with 16 open outcomes. November 2026 leads at 61%, ahead of December 2026 at 23%. November 2026 is down 2.8 points over the last 24 hours and down 3.9 points over the past week. Traders have put $449K through the event so far, including $6,681 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
DancewithRisk bought Yes at 65%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
flovertaco sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
marthi bought Yes at 62%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
jyPoz bought Yes at 62%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
flovertaco bought No at 83%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?
DancewithRisk bought Yes at 60%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
DancewithRisk sold Yes at 73%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
DancewithRisk bought Yes at 85%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
Dragontree bought Yes at 76%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
hell0pia bought Yes at 71%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
hell0pia bought Yes at 66%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- November 2026 is the favorite at 61%, followed by December 2026 at 23% and January 2027 at 6%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
- Polymarket traders give November 2026 a 61% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.63 (American −159): $1 staked on November 2026 returns about $1.63 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 2.8 points.
Related odds
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $1.75–$2.0T30%
- $2.0–$2.25T19%
- $1.5–$1.75T19%
$2.4M traded · $100K in 24h
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
- $1.50–$1.75T60%
- $1.75–$2.00T25%
- $2.00–$2.25T4%
$225K traded · $10K in 24h
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.5T87%
- ↑$1.75T78%
- ↑$2.0T59%
$6.1M traded · $27K in 24h