Hantavirus vaccine in 2026 odds
Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 3% and No at 97% for “Hantavirus vaccine in 2026” (Yes +0.1 pts in the last 24 hours).
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Chance of Yes over the last 30 days
Price of a Yes share.
Yes and No odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- Yes3%3%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 34.48US +3348Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- No97%97%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 1.03US −3348Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Hantavirus vaccine in 2026” is a Polymarket market with two outcomes. Yes is priced at 3% and No at 97%; Yes is up 0.1 points over the last 24 hours and down 0.1 points over the past week. Traders have put $143K through the market so far, including $0 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
Darling-Top bought No at 95%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
Bustling-Raid sold No at 94%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
Bustling-Raid bought No at 95%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
Laurenman sold No at 91%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
tomatosauce2 bought No at 92%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
qwertyjack sold No at 91%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
iutwpfal sold No at 91%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
whitetofu bought No at 92%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
whitetofu bought No at 92%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
Laurenman bought No at 93%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any vaccine intended for humans and inoculating against Hantavirus (including Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS) or Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS)) receives full approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the FDA, including its list of approved vaccines (https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/vaccines/vaccines-licensed-use-united-states), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- Polymarket currently prices Yes at 3% (decimal odds 34.48, American +3348) and No at 97% (decimal odds 1.03, American −3348). The price of a Yes share is the market's implied probability that this happens.
- When does this market close?
- The listed end date is January 1, 2027. Read the resolution rules on this page to see what counts and who decides.
