iutwpfal has made $93K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,098 all time by profit, with 4.5M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$93K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 4.5M
- Portfolio value
- $28K
- Profit this month
- +$11K
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 56%
How iutwpfal has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 110 (56%) ended in profit and 88 in a loss, for +$14K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 51%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $23K together, the biggest is “Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?” (No) at 41% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
No · entry 36% · closed Sep 12, 2026
+$3,777
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
No · entry 24% · closed Jul 19, 2026
+$3,486
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Feb 18, 2026
+$3,269
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
No · entry 66% · closed Sep 12, 2026
+$3,132
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Apr 30, 2026
+$3,122
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No · entry 6% · closed Jun 30, 2026
+$3,096
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Jul 10, 2026
+$2,748
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 20% · closed Oct 3, 2026
+$2,698
Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
No · entry 18% · closed Jul 4, 2026
+$2,637
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 7% · closed Jul 11, 2026
+$2,621
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
No · entry 75% · closed May 19, 2026
−$3,714
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 14, 2026
−$3,116
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$3,108
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$2,886
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$2,780
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
No · entry 92% · closed Mar 8, 2026
−$2,769
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$2,456
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 94% · closed Jul 11, 2026
−$2,361
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
No · entry 94% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$2,311
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
No · entry 97% · closed Apr 27, 2026
−$2,091
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No · entry 57%, now 65% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,543
+$1,096 P&L
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 83%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,369
+$122 P&L
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?
No · entry 56%, now 67% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,695
+$278 P&L
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?
Yes · entry 80%, now 88% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,601
+$140 P&L
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?
Yes · entry 86%, now 93% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,365
+$100 P&L
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Yes · entry 6%, now 91% · ends Nov 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,110
+$1,041 P&L
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
Yes · entry 22%, now 48% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$911
+$488 P&L
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?
Yes · entry 91%, now 98% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$876
+$65 P&L
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 25%, now 48% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$710
+$344 P&L
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 18%, now 21% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$662
+$71 P&L
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?
Yes · entry 11%, now 59% · ends Mar 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$574
+$463 P&L
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
No · entry 81%, now 84% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$560
+$17 P&L
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
No · entry 61%, now 77% · market ended
$508
+$100 P&L
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
No · entry 74%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$486
+$89 P&L
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
No · entry 34%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$440
+$261 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 56%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?
Sold Yes at 99%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?
Sold Yes at 99%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?
Bought Yes at 91%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?
Bought No at 46%
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
Bought Yes at 1%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Bought Yes at 1%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Bought Yes at 1%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Bought Yes at 1%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Bought Yes at 0.9%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Bought Yes at 0.9%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Bought Yes at 0.9%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Bought Yes at 0.9%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Bought No at 23%
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?
Bought Yes at 0.9%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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