whitetofu is down $1,726 in realized results on Polymarket, with 144K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 15, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$1,726
- All-time volume (shares)
- 144K
- Portfolio value
- $18K
- Profit this month
- −$904
- Win rate (last 43 closed)
- 77%
How whitetofu has traded
Across all 43 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 33 (77%) ended in profit and 10 in a loss, for −$515 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 82%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 10 largest open positions listed below, worth $18K together, the biggest is “Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? ” (No) at 24% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Yes · entry 89% · closed May 28, 2026
+$1,210
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?
No · entry 55% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$602
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
No · entry 73% · closed Apr 23, 2026
+$388
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
No · entry 81% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$241
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
No · entry 94% · closed Apr 16, 2026
+$235
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No · entry 89% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$183
Trump out as President before 2027?
No · entry 84% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$155
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
No · entry 88% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$152
James Comey charges dropped by May 31?
No · entry 86% · closed May 15, 2026
+$145
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
No · entry 85% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$130
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
No · entry 82% · closed May 16, 2026
−$3,919
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Apr 27, 2026
−$945
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No · entry 89% · closed Jun 25, 2026
−$180
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No · entry 76% · closed Sep 29, 2026
−$67
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 80% · closed May 1, 2026
−$47
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Yes · entry 78% · closed May 13, 2026
−$17
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
No · entry 33% · closed Apr 24, 2026
−$13
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
No · entry 24% · closed Apr 24, 2026
−$10
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
No · entry 0.5% · closed Apr 6, 2026
−$5
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Yes · entry 42% · closed May 15, 2026
−$1
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,300
+$300 P&L
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No · entry 92%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,162
+$164 P&L
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
No · entry 74%, now 94% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,577
+$564 P&L
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,226
+$200 P&L
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,135
+$136 P&L
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No · entry 86%, now 98% · ended Oct 20, 2026
$1,134
+$135 P&L
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,098
+$99 P&L
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
No · entry 89%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$870
+$69 P&L
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$209
+$9 P&L
Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?
No · entry 68%, now 61% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades
Bought No at 81%
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
Sold No at 85%
Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?
Sold No at 85%
Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?
Sold No at 97%
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
Sold No at 85%
Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?
Sold No at 90%
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?
Sold No at 86%
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?
Sold No at 97%
Trump out as President before 2027?
Sold No at 86%
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?
Sold No at 31%
Trump renames AI by September 30?
Bought Yes at 85%
Trump renames AI by December 31?
Sold No at 85%
Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?
Bought No at 75%
Trump renames AI by September 30?
$110
Bought No at 68%
Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?
$156
Bought No at 91%
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
$200
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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