Laurenman
0x54a7…881b · Joined September 19, 2024
Laurenman is down $62K in realized results on Polymarket, with 19M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Sep 11, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$62K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 19M
- Portfolio value
- $2,727
- Profit this month
- −$2,600
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 79%
How Laurenman has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 157 (79%) ended in profit and 43 in a loss, for +$1,215 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 90%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 7 largest open positions listed below, worth $2,727 together, the biggest is “Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?” (Yes) at 74% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Solana reach $260 September 15-21?
No · entry 50% · closed Sep 22, 2025
+$2,870
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$2,655
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
No · entry 60% · closed Jan 9, 2026
+$2,594
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
No · entry 98% · closed Mar 1, 2026
+$1,867
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$1,712
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
No · entry 95% · closed Jan 31, 2026
+$1,684
Iran leadership change by April 30?
No · entry 99% · closed May 1, 2026
+$1,651
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
No · entry 95% · closed May 1, 2026
+$1,610
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
No · entry 97% · closed May 1, 2026
+$1,571
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
$80k · entry 81% · closed May 4, 2026
+$1,539
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
No · entry 36% · closed Mar 6, 2026
−$18K
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$17K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
No · entry 95% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$12K
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
No · entry 88% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$12K
Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?
No · entry 99% · closed Jan 22, 2026
−$11K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 90% · closed Mar 18, 2026
−$6,744
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Mar 26, 2026
−$5,574
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$4,783
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Yes · entry 93% · closed May 26, 2026
−$4,535
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No · entry 99% · closed May 27, 2026
−$3,854
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
Yes · entry 88%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,022
+$169 P&L
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$479
+$3 P&L
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 96%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No · entry 57%, now 67% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$66
+$10 P&L
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No · entry 84%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 75%, now 84% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 69%
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?
$1,131
Sold Yes at 69%
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?
$96
Sold Yes at 70%
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?
$105
Sold Yes at 68%
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?
$408
Sold No at 88%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?
$189
Sold Yes at 70%
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?
$355
Sold Yes at 77%
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?
$3,257
Sold No at 89%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?
$100
Sold No at 89%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?
$9
Sold No at 89%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?
$1
Sold No at 89%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?
$9
Sold No at >99%
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
$2,040
Sold Yes at 87%
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
$8
Sold No at >99%
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
$20
Bought Yes at 85%
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
$2
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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