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Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? Live odds

Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 6% and No at 94% for “Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027” (Yes −3.4 pts in the last 24 hours).

Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Chance of Yes over the last 30 days

Price of a Yes share.

Sep 26Oct 25

Yes and No odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027” is a Polymarket market with two outcomes. Yes is priced at 6% and No at 94%; Yes is down 3.4 points over the last 24 hours and down 0.4 points over the past week. Traders have put $17K through the market so far, including $31 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 6% (decimal odds 16.39, American +1539) and No at 94% (decimal odds 1.06, American −1539). The price of a Yes share is the market's implied probability that this happens.
When does this market close?
The listed end date is January 1, 2027. Read the resolution rules on this page to see what counts and who decides.