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Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by X odds

The highest-priced market in “Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by X” is December 31, 2026 at 3% (+0.5 pts in the last 24 hours). Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.

Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The leading outcome right now.

Sep 26Oct 26

All 1 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by X” is a Polymarket event with 1 open outcomes. December 31, 2026 has the highest price at 3%. December 31, 2026 is up 0.5 points over the last 24 hours and up 0.2 points over the past week. Traders have put $118K through the event so far, including $3 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.

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The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate capital gains tax on any cryptocurrency assets by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Such a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market.

If capital gains is eliminated only for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market.

If the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it takes effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 3% in this market, which is decimal odds of 30.30 (American +2930): $1 staked on Yes returns about $30.30 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.5 points.