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WhaleSays

Predictandbreathe

0x2707…0afa · Joined August 29, 2024

#3,223,602 all time#1,683 this monthView on Polymarket

Predictandbreathe is down $148K in realized results on Polymarket, with 21M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$148K
All-time volume (shares)
21M
Portfolio value
$8,688
Profit this month
+$8,956
Win rate (last 200 closed)
59%

How Predictandbreathe has traded

Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 117 (59%) ended in profit and 83 in a loss, for +$31K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 35%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 14 largest open positions listed below, worth $8,688 together, the biggest is “Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?” (Yes) at 39% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

    Yes · entry 44% · closed Mar 4, 2026

    +$28K

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?

    Yes · entry 5% · closed Mar 5, 2026

    +$27K

  • Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?

    Yes · entry 42% · closed Apr 14, 2025

    +$17K

  • US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

    Yes · entry 20% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    +$15K

  • Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

    Yes · entry 57% · closed Mar 16, 2026

    +$15K

  • Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

    Yes · entry 45% · closed Mar 4, 2026

    +$15K

  • Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)

    Seahawks · entry 53% · closed Jan 26, 2026

    +$14K

  • Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

    Yes · entry 3% · closed Apr 7, 2026

    +$13K

  • Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?

    Yes · entry 32% · closed Jul 6, 2025

    +$11K

  • Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

    Yes · entry 15% · closed Jun 18, 2025

    +$11K

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

    No · entry 58% · closed Mar 18, 2026

    −$32K

  • Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

    No · entry 8% · closed Mar 4, 2026

    −$27K

  • Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?

    No · entry 25% · closed Feb 2, 2026

    −$13K

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12PM ET

    Down · entry 84% · closed Mar 18, 2026

    −$13K

  • Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?

    Yes · entry 5% · closed May 17, 2025

    −$12K

  • Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?

    Yes · entry 45% · closed Jul 13, 2025

    −$11K

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 4?

    Yes · entry 53% · closed Mar 4, 2026

    −$11K

  • Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

    Yes · entry 33% · closed Mar 4, 2026

    −$11K

  • Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

    Yes · entry 32% · closed Jul 26, 2026

    −$10K

  • Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?

    Yes · entry 81% · closed Mar 18, 2026

    −$9,700

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

  • Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?

    Yes · entry 32%, now 81% · ended Oct 5, 2026

    $3,402

    +$2,064 P&L

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?

    Yes · entry 19%, now 23% · ends Oct 26, 2026

  • Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?

    Yes · entry 9%, now 83% · ends Oct 26, 2026

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

    Yes · entry 42%, now 13% · ends Oct 26, 2026

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 37%, now 13% · ends Oct 26, 2026

  • Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

    Yes · entry 8%, now 32% · ends Oct 26, 2026

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?

    Yes · entry 31%, now 5% · ends Oct 26, 2026

  • Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?

    Yes · entry 19%, now 22% · ended Oct 5, 2026

    $205

    +$32 P&L

  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?

    Yes · entry 2%, now 0.9% · ends Oct 26, 2026

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

    Yes · entry 21%, now 0.5% · ends Oct 26, 2026

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?

    Yes · entry 20%, now 0.9% · ends Oct 26, 2026

  • Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

    Yes · entry 3%, now 0.1% · ended Nov 1, 2026

    $8

    −$212 P&L

  • Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?

    Yes · entry 31%, now 38% · ends Oct 26, 2026

  • Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?

    Yes · entry 10%, now 0.4% · ended Oct 5, 2026

    $2

    −$49 P&L

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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