Vermont Governor Election: Turnout odds
Polymarket traders make 300K-325K the favorite for “Vermont Governor Election: Turnout” at 45% (unchanged in the last 24 hours), ahead of 275K-300K at 29%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 7 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 300K-325K45%45%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2.25US +125Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 275K-300K29%29%24h −6.0 ptsOdds 3.45US +245Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 325K-350K14%14%24h +2.6 ptsOdds 7.09US +609Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 350K+7%7%24h +1.3 ptsOdds 15.15US +1415Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- <225K4%4%24h +0.7 ptsOdds 22.47US +2147Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 250K-275K3%3%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 33.90US +3290Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 225K-250K1%1%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 71.43US +7043Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Vermont Governor Election: Turnout” is a Polymarket event with 7 open outcomes. 300K-325K leads at 45%, ahead of 275K-300K at 29%. 300K-325K is unchanged over the last 24 hours and up 38 points over the past week. Traders have put $23K through the event so far, including $691 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
No trades of $1,000 or more on this market recently.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Who is the favorite in Vermont Governor Election: Turnout?
- 300K-325K is the favorite at 45%, followed by 275K-300K at 29% and 325K-350K at 14%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?
- Polymarket traders give 300K-325K a 45% chance, which is decimal odds of 2.25 (American +125): $1 staked on 300K-325K returns about $2.25 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved by less than 0.1 points.
