Michigan Senate Election: Turnout odds
Polymarket traders make 4.6M-4.8M the favorite for “Michigan Senate Election: Turnout” at 31% (−8.9 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of 5M-5.2M at 27%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 9 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 4.6M-4.8M31%31%24h −8.9 ptsOdds 3.27US +227Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 5M-5.2M27%27%24h +8.9 ptsOdds 3.72US +272Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- <4.2M11%11%24h +8.1 ptsOdds 9.01US +801Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 4.8M-5M11%11%24h −3.0 ptsOdds 9.09US +809Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 5.6M+9%9%24h −24 ptsOdds 10.70US +970Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 5.2M-5.4M9%9%24h +5.9 ptsOdds 11.63US +1063Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 5.4M-5.6M7%7%24h +0.5 ptsOdds 15.04US +1404Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 4.4M-4.6M5%5%24h −1.0 ptsOdds 22.22US +2122Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 4.2M-4.4M4%4%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 27.78US +2678Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Michigan Senate Election: Turnout” is a Polymarket event with 9 open outcomes. 4.6M-4.8M leads at 31%, ahead of 5M-5.2M at 27%. 4.6M-4.8M is down 8.9 points over the last 24 hours and down 0.9 points over the past week. Traders have put $36K through the event so far, including $5,425 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
spacegliderr bought No at 77%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in Michigan Senate Election: Turnout?
- 4.6M-4.8M is the favorite at 31%, followed by 5M-5.2M at 27% and <4.2M at 11%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000?
- Polymarket traders give 4.6M-4.8M a 31% chance, which is decimal odds of 3.27 (American +227): $1 staked on 4.6M-4.8M returns about $3.27 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 8.9 points.
