Arizona Governor Election: Turnout odds
Polymarket traders make 2.6M-2.75M the favorite for “Arizona Governor Election: Turnout” at 24% (unchanged in the last 24 hours), ahead of 2.45M-2.6M at 22%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 10 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 2.6M-2.75M24%24%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 4.17US +317Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2.45M-2.6M22%22%24h −4.5 ptsOdds 4.55US +355Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2.15M-2.3M20%20%24h +0.9 ptsOdds 4.89US +389Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2.75M-2.9M16%16%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 6.25US +525Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2.9M-3.05M6%6%24h +0.6 ptsOdds 15.75US +1475Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 3.2M+5%5%24h +2.3 ptsOdds 18.87US +1787Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 3.05M-3.2M5%5%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 21.28US +2028Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2.3M-2.45M5%5%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 21.74US +2074Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- <2M4%4%24h −3.7 ptsOdds 27.40US +2640Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2M-2.15M0.7%0.7%24h +0.2 ptsOdds 153.85US +15285Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Arizona Governor Election: Turnout” is a Polymarket event with 10 open outcomes. 2.6M-2.75M leads at 24%, ahead of 2.45M-2.6M at 22%. 2.6M-2.75M is unchanged over the last 24 hours and down 9.5 points over the past week. Traders have put $16K through the event so far, including $447 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
No trades of $1,000 or more on this market recently.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in Arizona Governor Election: Turnout?
- 2.6M-2.75M is the favorite at 24%, followed by 2.45M-2.6M at 22% and 2.15M-2.3M at 20%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?
- Polymarket traders give 2.6M-2.75M a 24% chance, which is decimal odds of 4.17 (American +317): $1 staked on 2.6M-2.75M returns about $4.17 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved by less than 0.1 points.
