Hopeful-Marmalade
0x9b17…93c7 · Joined March 7, 2026
Hopeful-Marmalade has made $2,449 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #44,847 all time by profit, with 92K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$2,449
- All-time volume (shares)
- 92K
- Portfolio value
- $230
- Profit this month
- +$3,313
- Win rate (last 10 closed)
- 50%
How Hopeful-Marmalade has traded
Across all 10 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 5 (50%) ended in profit and 5 in a loss, for +$2,449 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 40%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 5 of the 10 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 1 largest open positions listed below, worth $230 together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes) at 100% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$3,347
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Mar 31, 2026
+$457
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$140
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$104
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Down · entry 72% · closed Mar 28, 2026
+$10
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Apr 13, 2026
−$1,245
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
No · entry 0.4% · closed Apr 10, 2026
−$256
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Down · entry 59% · closed Mar 28, 2026
−$70
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Down · entry 6% · closed Mar 28, 2026
−$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Up · entry 12% · closed Mar 28, 2026
−$18
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 38%, now 63% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$230
+$92 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 98%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 59%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 46%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 46%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 28%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 30%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 30%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 30%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 38%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$139
Sold Yes at 99%
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
$327
Sold Yes at 99%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
$323
Bought Yes at 55%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
$180
Bought Yes at 66%
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
$220
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
$11
Bought Yes at 17%
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
$113
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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