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aviato

0x2a01…6397 · Joined July 24, 2024

#1,046 all time#1,169 this monthView on Polymarket

aviato has made $201K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,046 all time by profit, with 33M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$201K
All-time volume (shares)
33M
Portfolio value
$257K
Profit this month
+$14K
Win rate (last 197 closed)
66%

How aviato has traded

Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 130 (66%) ended in profit and 67 in a loss, for +$23K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 64%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $154K together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes) at 19% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 9, 2026

    +$39K

  • Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 28% · closed Sep 16, 2026

    +$28K

  • Will the US strike Syria next?

    Yes · entry 57% · closed Jan 11, 2026

    +$26K

  • Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?

    Yes · entry 17% · closed Aug 4, 2026

    +$20K

  • Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

    Yes · entry 56% · closed Mar 16, 2026

    +$20K

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 52% · closed Jul 29, 2026

    +$16K

  • Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

    No · entry 92% · closed Apr 1, 2026

    +$7,528

  • No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 89% · closed Jan 29, 2026

    +$7,100

  • Will Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu win in Round 1?

    No · entry 45% · closed Sep 27, 2026

    +$5,922

  • US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

    No · entry 94% · closed Apr 1, 2026

    +$5,538

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

    No · entry 95% · closed Apr 11, 2026

    −$87K

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

    No · entry 90% · closed Apr 8, 2026

    −$21K

  • Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

    Yes · entry 97% · closed May 26, 2026

    −$18K

  • Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

    Yes · entry 97% · closed May 27, 2026

    −$14K

  • Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

    No · entry 95% · closed Mar 4, 2026

    −$12K

  • US strikes Iraq by February 28?

    No · entry 95% · closed Mar 6, 2026

    −$12K

  • Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 20% · closed Sep 30, 2026

    −$7,694

  • Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?

    No · entry 94% · closed May 10, 2026

    −$7,519

  • Will the government shutdown end November 12?

    Yes · entry 94% · closed Nov 13, 2025

    −$6,555

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 22% · closed Sep 30, 2026

    −$6,429

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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